{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 426,
  "name": "B.Fernandes",
  "web_name": "B.Fernandes",
  "team": "MUN",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 11.9,
  "ownership_pct": 34.6,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 5.86,
    "captain_ev": 11.72,
    "ceiling": 14.59,
    "value": 0.492,
    "bonus": 0.95,
    "defcon": 0.05,
    "p_defcon": 0.024,
    "cs_points": 0.22,
    "start_prob": 0.9979595054365514
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  "season": {
    "total_points": 32,
    "event_points": 1,
    "minutes": 540,
    "realized_ppm": 2.69
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 8095,
    "out_event": 284312
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 6,
    "own_rank": 8,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 2
  },
  "verdict_tier": "S",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "S",
    "price_band": "Premium",
    "stance": "we own him, in our XI",
    "rank_call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 5.86,
    "8": 6.39,
    "9": 5.85,
    "10": 6.55,
    "11": 6.07
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 23,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "LEE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.426,
      "lam_against": 1.586,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "BOU",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "CHE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "AVL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "LIV",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-22T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": true,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": "XI",
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [
    "B.Fernandes"
  ],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "5": 497,
      "2": 3270,
      "10": 872,
      "13": 258,
      "6": 505,
      "11": 315,
      "15": 280,
      "9": 748,
      "3": 1005,
      "1": 521,
      "8": 276,
      "12": 182,
      "7": 222,
      "16": 127,
      "4": 168,
      "18": 79,
      "14": 187,
      "17": 29,
      "20": 47,
      "-1": 27,
      "23": 16,
      "19": 37,
      "30": 1,
      "26": 6,
      "21": 26,
      "0": 266,
      "28": 1,
      "31": 1,
      "24": 8,
      "-2": 7,
      "25": 10,
      "22": 4,
      "32": 1,
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 2,
    "median": 3,
    "mode": 2,
    "p90": 13,
    "p_haul": 0.2488,
    "p_blank": 0.4091
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/426-b-fernandes/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}