{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 411,
  "name": "Haaland",
  "web_name": "Haaland",
  "team": "MCI",
  "position": "FWD",
  "price": 15.6,
  "ownership_pct": 75.2,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
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    "captain_ev": 17.26,
    "ceiling": 18.55,
    "value": 0.553,
    "bonus": 1.91,
    "defcon": 0.0,
    "p_defcon": 0.001,
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    "start_prob": 0.9975472843126224
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    "event_points": 6,
    "minutes": 529,
    "realized_ppm": 2.88
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  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 85539,
    "out_event": 5529
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  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 1,
    "own_rank": 1,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 0
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  "verdict_tier": "S",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "S",
    "price_band": "Premium",
    "stance": "the consensus squad owns him, we do not",
    "rank_call": "buy"
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  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 8.63,
    "8": 7.09,
    "9": 6.17,
    "10": 6.03,
    "11": 6.19
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  "form_history": [
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      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 13,
      "minutes": 90,
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    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 9,
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    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 9,
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    {
      "round": 5,
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    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 6,
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  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "IPS",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 2.783,
      "lam_against": 0.839,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "AVL",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 2.063,
      "lam_against": 1.177,
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    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "BHA",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "NFO",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-07T17:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
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      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "FUL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T12:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
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  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": true,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": "XI"
  },
  "notes": [
    "Haaland"
  ],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "12": 476,
      "2": 2017,
      "9": 1458,
      "5": 200,
      "8": 893,
      "1": 398,
      "13": 1609,
      "17": 785,
      "6": 188,
      "20": 100,
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 1,
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    "mode": 2,
    "p90": 17,
    "p_haul": 0.3738,
    "p_blank": 0.3029
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  "page": "/fpl/players/411-haaland/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}