{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 4,
  "name": "Gabriel",
  "web_name": "Gabriel",
  "team": "ARS",
  "position": "DEF",
  "price": 7.9,
  "ownership_pct": 21.8,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 4.79,
    "captain_ev": 9.57,
    "ceiling": 10.84,
    "value": 0.606,
    "bonus": 0.36,
    "defcon": 0.39,
    "p_defcon": 0.193,
    "cs_points": 1.76,
    "start_prob": 0.9958983998169065
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  "season": {
    "total_points": 27,
    "event_points": 2,
    "minutes": 540,
    "realized_ppm": 3.42
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 10097,
    "out_event": 74399
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 17,
    "own_rank": 15,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -2
  },
  "verdict_tier": "S",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "S",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 4.79,
    "8": 5.18,
    "9": 4.19,
    "10": 4.68,
    "11": 4.11
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 5,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 8,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 9,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "NFO",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 1.83,
      "lam_against": 0.844,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "EVE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 2.061,
      "lam_against": 0.714,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "LIV",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "HUL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "NEW",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T17:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "5": 479,
      "3": 378,
      "6": 1496,
      "1": 1449,
      "10": 179,
      "7": 1152,
      "13": 56,
      "2": 2140,
      "9": 316,
      "0": 380,
      "8": 786,
      "-1": 35,
      "4": 618,
      "11": 82,
      "15": 153,
      "12": 80,
      "14": 98,
      "17": 54,
      "20": 6,
      "16": 25,
      "23": 5,
      "21": 8,
      "18": 10,
      "-2": 10,
      "19": 2,
      "22": 2,
      "-3": 1
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 1,
    "median": 4,
    "mode": 2,
    "p90": 9,
    "p_haul": 0.076,
    "p_blank": 0.4015
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/4-gabriel/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}