{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 244,
  "name": "Armstrong",
  "web_name": "Armstrong",
  "team": "EVE",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 5.0,
  "ownership_pct": 0.4,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 2.95,
    "captain_ev": 5.89,
    "ceiling": 7.62,
    "value": 0.59,
    "bonus": 0.13,
    "defcon": 0.22,
    "p_defcon": 0.109,
    "cs_points": 0.21,
    "start_prob": 0.9860050928426107
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  "season": {
    "total_points": 18,
    "event_points": 2,
    "minutes": 523,
    "realized_ppm": 3.6
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 407,
    "out_event": 1852
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 109,
    "own_rank": 258,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 149
  },
  "verdict_tier": "A",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "A",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 2.95,
    "8": 2.5,
    "9": 2.92,
    "10": 3.2,
    "11": 2.93
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 8,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 86,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 77,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "CHE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 4,
      "lam_for": 1.315,
      "lam_against": 1.634,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "ARS",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 0.714,
      "lam_against": 2.061,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "NEW",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "COV",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "BRE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-23T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "2": 4920,
      "9": 211,
      "10": 112,
      "6": 185,
      "-1": 74,
      "1": 793,
      "3": 1462,
      "7": 202,
      "4": 716,
      "8": 209,
      "5": 459,
      "15": 14,
      "16": 9,
      "11": 65,
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      "12": 34,
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      "-2": 10,
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      "18": 2,
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 1,
    "median": 2,
    "mode": 2,
    "p90": 6,
    "p_haul": 0.0282,
    "p_blank": 0.6274
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/244-armstrong/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}