{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 230,
  "name": "Branthwaite",
  "web_name": "Branthwaite",
  "team": "EVE",
  "position": "DEF",
  "price": 5.5,
  "ownership_pct": 2.6,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 3.24,
    "captain_ev": 6.48,
    "ceiling": 8.39,
    "value": 0.589,
    "bonus": 0.09,
    "defcon": 0.82,
    "p_defcon": 0.41,
    "cs_points": 0.82,
    "start_prob": 0.9864173139665398
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  "season": {
    "total_points": 30,
    "event_points": 3,
    "minutes": 540,
    "realized_ppm": 5.45
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  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 7515,
    "out_event": 9400
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 86,
    "own_rank": 108,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 22
  },
  "verdict_tier": "A",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "A",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 3.24,
    "8": 2.61,
    "9": 3.33,
    "10": 3.76,
    "11": 3.38
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 6,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 4,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 6,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 8,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "CHE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 4,
      "lam_for": 1.315,
      "lam_against": 1.634,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "ARS",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 0.714,
      "lam_against": 2.061,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "NEW",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "COV",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "BRE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-23T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "2": 1879,
      "3": 1457,
      "0": 951,
      "6": 786,
      "8": 640,
      "1": 2056,
      "7": 361,
      "4": 1185,
      "9": 191,
      "10": 69,
      "5": 180,
      "-1": 75,
      "12": 30,
      "-2": 24,
      "11": 28,
      "17": 18,
      "15": 34,
      "14": 10,
      "16": 9,
      "-3": 6,
      "19": 1,
      "23": 1,
      "13": 7,
      "20": 1,
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    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 3,
    "mode": 1,
    "p90": 8,
    "p_haul": 0.0209,
    "p_blank": 0.4991
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/230-branthwaite/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}