{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 157,
  "name": "Estêvão",
  "web_name": "Estêvão",
  "team": "CHE",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 6.3,
  "ownership_pct": 0.7,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 0.28,
    "captain_ev": 0.55,
    "ceiling": 1.63,
    "value": 0.044,
    "bonus": 0.03,
    "defcon": 0.0,
    "p_defcon": 0.0,
    "cs_points": 0.0,
    "start_prob": 0.005379485667273336
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 5,
    "event_points": 1,
    "minutes": 29,
    "realized_ppm": 0.79
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 1514,
    "out_event": 2337
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 359,
    "own_rank": 211,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -148
  },
  "verdict_tier": "C",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "C",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 0.28,
    "8": 0.29,
    "9": 0.28,
    "10": 0.27,
    "11": 0.3
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 7,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 0,
      "minutes": 0,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 9,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 4,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 3,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 6,
      "starts": 0
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "EVE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 2,
      "lam_for": 1.634,
      "lam_against": 1.315,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "TOT",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "MUN",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "SUN",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "LEE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "1": 1639,
      "6": 49,
      "3": 21,
      "14": 1,
      "0": 8110,
      "-2": 23,
      "5": 17,
      "9": 5,
      "4": 77,
      "2": 17,
      "8": 11,
      "10": 2,
      "7": 24,
      "16": 1,
      "15": 1,
      "12": 2
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 1,
    "p_haul": 0.0007,
    "p_blank": 0.9789
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/157-estevao/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}