{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 119,
  "name": "Costinha",
  "web_name": "Costinha",
  "team": "BHA",
  "position": "DEF",
  "price": 4.5,
  "ownership_pct": 0.0,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 0.21,
    "captain_ev": 0.43,
    "ceiling": 1.24,
    "value": 0.047,
    "bonus": 0.0,
    "defcon": 0.0,
    "p_defcon": 0.0,
    "cs_points": 0.0,
    "start_prob": 0.005915373128381024
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 5,
    "event_points": 1,
    "minutes": 90,
    "realized_ppm": 1.11
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 73,
    "out_event": 95
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 421,
    "own_rank": 537,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 116
  },
  "verdict_tier": "C",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "C",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 0.21,
    "8": 0.21,
    "9": 0.19,
    "10": 0.21,
    "11": 0.2
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 26,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 0,
      "minutes": 10,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 12,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 6,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 14,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 22,
      "starts": 0
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "CRY",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 2.067,
      "lam_against": 1.036,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "LIV",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "MCI",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "BRE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "HUL",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-22T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "1": 1744,
      "0": 8126,
      "4": 50,
      "7": 20,
      "2": 3,
      "-2": 27,
      "-1": 6,
      "3": 7,
      "-3": 2,
      "6": 10,
      "8": 3,
      "5": 2
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 1,
    "p_haul": 0.0,
    "p_blank": 0.9908
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/119-costinha/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}