{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 1,
  "article": "efficiency",
  "title": "Best value — points per million — Gameweek 1",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-21T10:24:47.172294+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Calafiori",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.12,
      "captain_ev": 10.24,
      "ceiling": 13.88,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 13.8,
      "value": 0.931,
      "bonus": 0.53,
      "defcon": 0.06,
      "p_defcon": 0.028,
      "cs_points": 1.78,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 1,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Shaw",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.98,
      "captain_ev": 7.95,
      "ceiling": 7.99,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 23.3,
      "value": 0.884,
      "bonus": 0.07,
      "defcon": 0.15,
      "p_defcon": 0.076,
      "cs_points": 1.78,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 2,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Ndiaye",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 5.13,
      "captain_ev": 10.27,
      "ceiling": 15.04,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 20.0,
      "value": 0.856,
      "bonus": 0.88,
      "defcon": 0.25,
      "p_defcon": 0.125,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 3,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "N.Williams",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.1,
      "captain_ev": 8.2,
      "ceiling": 10.8,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 13.3,
      "value": 0.82,
      "bonus": 0.39,
      "defcon": 0.26,
      "p_defcon": 0.129,
      "cs_points": 1.12,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 4,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Diop",
      "team": "IPS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.23,
      "captain_ev": 6.45,
      "ceiling": 10.28,
      "price": 4.0,
      "ownership_pct": 20.8,
      "value": 0.807,
      "bonus": 0.49,
      "defcon": 0.22,
      "p_defcon": 0.111,
      "cs_points": 0.85,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 5,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "E.Le Fée",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.79,
      "captain_ev": 9.59,
      "ceiling": 13.02,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.799,
      "bonus": 1.08,
      "defcon": 0.37,
      "p_defcon": 0.184,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 6,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Mosquera",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.36,
      "captain_ev": 8.72,
      "ceiling": 9.36,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 17.3,
      "value": 0.793,
      "bonus": 0.22,
      "defcon": 0.49,
      "p_defcon": 0.244,
      "cs_points": 1.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 7,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.67,
      "captain_ev": 9.33,
      "ceiling": 11.16,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.778,
      "bonus": 0.37,
      "defcon": 0.91,
      "p_defcon": 0.457,
      "cs_points": 1.21,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 8,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Raya",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.63,
      "captain_ev": 9.25,
      "ceiling": 8.17,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 30.2,
      "value": 0.771,
      "bonus": 0.39,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 2.2,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 9,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Verbruggen",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.34,
      "captain_ev": 6.68,
      "ceiling": 8.04,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 16.8,
      "value": 0.742,
      "bonus": 0.3,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.02,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 10,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "B.Fernandes",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 8.85,
      "captain_ev": 17.7,
      "ceiling": 19.7,
      "price": 12.0,
      "ownership_pct": 48.7,
      "value": 0.737,
      "bonus": 2.28,
      "defcon": 0.19,
      "p_defcon": 0.096,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 11,
      "tier": "Premium"
    },
    {
      "name": "Thiago",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.89,
      "captain_ev": 11.78,
      "ceiling": 14.16,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 16.0,
      "value": 0.736,
      "bonus": 1.32,
      "defcon": 0.02,
      "p_defcon": 0.011,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 12,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Welbeck",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.38,
      "captain_ev": 8.77,
      "ceiling": 13.52,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 2.9,
      "value": 0.731,
      "bonus": 1.39,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.001,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 13,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Van Hecke",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.63,
      "captain_ev": 7.27,
      "ceiling": 10.17,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.2,
      "value": 0.727,
      "bonus": 0.22,
      "defcon": 0.61,
      "p_defcon": 0.303,
      "cs_points": 0.83,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 14,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Senesi",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.35,
      "captain_ev": 8.69,
      "ceiling": 10.55,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.3,
      "value": 0.724,
      "bonus": 0.23,
      "defcon": 1.17,
      "p_defcon": 0.584,
      "cs_points": 0.85,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 15,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Hume",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.24,
      "captain_ev": 6.48,
      "ceiling": 9.1,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.4,
      "value": 0.72,
      "bonus": 0.13,
      "defcon": 0.13,
      "p_defcon": 0.067,
      "cs_points": 0.98,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 16,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Dalot",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.53,
      "captain_ev": 7.05,
      "ceiling": 9.65,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 3.2,
      "value": 0.705,
      "bonus": 0.2,
      "defcon": 0.14,
      "p_defcon": 0.068,
      "cs_points": 1.38,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 17,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Roefs",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.5,
      "captain_ev": 7.0,
      "ceiling": 8.73,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 5.7,
      "value": 0.7,
      "bonus": 0.66,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.02,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 18,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Lammens",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.46,
      "captain_ev": 6.93,
      "ceiling": 7.64,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 19.9,
      "value": 0.693,
      "bonus": 0.23,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.52,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 19,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Dubravka",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 2.74,
      "captain_ev": 5.49,
      "ceiling": 6.86,
      "price": 4.0,
      "ownership_pct": 24.8,
      "value": 0.686,
      "bonus": 0.11,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.81,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 20,
      "tier": "Budget"
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}