{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 1,
  "article": "defenders",
  "title": "Best defenders & keepers — Gameweek 1",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-21T10:24:47.172294+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Gabriel",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.32,
      "captain_ev": 10.63,
      "ceiling": 12.92,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 25.4,
      "value": 0.665,
      "bonus": 0.97,
      "defcon": 0.55,
      "p_defcon": 0.277,
      "cs_points": 1.78,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Calafiori",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.12,
      "captain_ev": 10.24,
      "ceiling": 13.88,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 13.8,
      "value": 0.931,
      "bonus": 0.53,
      "defcon": 0.06,
      "p_defcon": 0.028,
      "cs_points": 1.78,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.67,
      "captain_ev": 9.33,
      "ceiling": 11.16,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.778,
      "bonus": 0.37,
      "defcon": 0.91,
      "p_defcon": 0.457,
      "cs_points": 1.21,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Raya",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.63,
      "captain_ev": 9.25,
      "ceiling": 8.17,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 30.2,
      "value": 0.771,
      "bonus": 0.39,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 2.2,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Mosquera",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.36,
      "captain_ev": 8.72,
      "ceiling": 9.36,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 17.3,
      "value": 0.793,
      "bonus": 0.22,
      "defcon": 0.49,
      "p_defcon": 0.244,
      "cs_points": 1.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Senesi",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.35,
      "captain_ev": 8.69,
      "ceiling": 10.55,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.3,
      "value": 0.724,
      "bonus": 0.23,
      "defcon": 1.17,
      "p_defcon": 0.584,
      "cs_points": 0.85,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Virgil",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.28,
      "captain_ev": 8.57,
      "ceiling": 10.97,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 15.8,
      "value": 0.659,
      "bonus": 0.22,
      "defcon": 0.74,
      "p_defcon": 0.37,
      "cs_points": 0.94,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "N.Williams",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.1,
      "captain_ev": 8.2,
      "ceiling": 10.8,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 13.3,
      "value": 0.82,
      "bonus": 0.39,
      "defcon": 0.26,
      "p_defcon": 0.129,
      "cs_points": 1.12,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Shaw",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.98,
      "captain_ev": 7.95,
      "ceiling": 7.99,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 23.3,
      "value": 0.884,
      "bonus": 0.07,
      "defcon": 0.15,
      "p_defcon": 0.076,
      "cs_points": 1.78,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Mukiele",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.71,
      "captain_ev": 7.42,
      "ceiling": 10.55,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 7.9,
      "value": 0.674,
      "bonus": 0.44,
      "defcon": 0.51,
      "p_defcon": 0.257,
      "cs_points": 0.93,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Pickford",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.7,
      "captain_ev": 7.4,
      "ceiling": 8.37,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.9,
      "value": 0.672,
      "bonus": 0.37,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.24,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Van Hecke",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.63,
      "captain_ev": 7.27,
      "ceiling": 10.17,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.2,
      "value": 0.727,
      "bonus": 0.22,
      "defcon": 0.61,
      "p_defcon": 0.303,
      "cs_points": 0.83,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Dalot",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.53,
      "captain_ev": 7.05,
      "ceiling": 9.65,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 3.2,
      "value": 0.705,
      "bonus": 0.2,
      "defcon": 0.14,
      "p_defcon": 0.068,
      "cs_points": 1.38,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Roefs",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.5,
      "captain_ev": 7.0,
      "ceiling": 8.73,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 5.7,
      "value": 0.7,
      "bonus": 0.66,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.02,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Lammens",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.46,
      "captain_ev": 6.93,
      "ceiling": 7.64,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 19.9,
      "value": 0.693,
      "bonus": 0.23,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.52,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Lacroix",
      "team": "CRY",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.38,
      "captain_ev": 6.75,
      "ceiling": 8.88,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.8,
      "value": 0.563,
      "bonus": 0.15,
      "defcon": 0.96,
      "p_defcon": 0.482,
      "cs_points": 0.82,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Keane",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.36,
      "captain_ev": 6.73,
      "ceiling": 9.6,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.673,
      "bonus": 0.15,
      "defcon": 0.75,
      "p_defcon": 0.377,
      "cs_points": 0.94,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Alderete",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.34,
      "captain_ev": 6.69,
      "ceiling": 9.15,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 0.669,
      "bonus": 0.14,
      "defcon": 0.72,
      "p_defcon": 0.36,
      "cs_points": 0.93,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Verbruggen",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.34,
      "captain_ev": 6.68,
      "ceiling": 8.04,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 16.8,
      "value": 0.742,
      "bonus": 0.3,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.02,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Milenković",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.3,
      "captain_ev": 6.6,
      "ceiling": 7.7,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.2,
      "value": 0.6,
      "bonus": 0.04,
      "defcon": 0.52,
      "p_defcon": 0.259,
      "cs_points": 1.15,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}