{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 1,
  "article": "defcon",
  "title": "DefCon leaders — Gameweek 1",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-21T10:24:47.172294+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Anderson",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.94,
      "captain_ev": 7.87,
      "ceiling": 8.6,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 12.0,
      "value": 0.605,
      "bonus": 0.13,
      "defcon": 1.2,
      "p_defcon": 0.598,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 1,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Senesi",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.35,
      "captain_ev": 8.69,
      "ceiling": 10.55,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.3,
      "value": 0.724,
      "bonus": 0.23,
      "defcon": 1.17,
      "p_defcon": 0.584,
      "cs_points": 0.85,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 2,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Lacroix",
      "team": "CRY",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.38,
      "captain_ev": 6.75,
      "ceiling": 8.88,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.8,
      "value": 0.563,
      "bonus": 0.15,
      "defcon": 0.96,
      "p_defcon": 0.482,
      "cs_points": 0.82,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 3,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.67,
      "captain_ev": 9.33,
      "ceiling": 11.16,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.778,
      "bonus": 0.37,
      "defcon": 0.91,
      "p_defcon": 0.457,
      "cs_points": 1.21,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 4,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Ampadu",
      "team": "LEE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.87,
      "captain_ev": 5.75,
      "ceiling": 6.01,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.3,
      "value": 0.523,
      "bonus": 0.08,
      "defcon": 0.77,
      "p_defcon": 0.386,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 5,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Wieffer",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.87,
      "captain_ev": 5.75,
      "ceiling": 9.94,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.575,
      "bonus": 0.3,
      "defcon": 0.77,
      "p_defcon": 0.383,
      "cs_points": 0.59,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 6,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Keane",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.36,
      "captain_ev": 6.73,
      "ceiling": 9.6,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.673,
      "bonus": 0.15,
      "defcon": 0.75,
      "p_defcon": 0.377,
      "cs_points": 0.94,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 7,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Virgil",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.28,
      "captain_ev": 8.57,
      "ceiling": 10.97,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 15.8,
      "value": 0.659,
      "bonus": 0.22,
      "defcon": 0.74,
      "p_defcon": 0.37,
      "cs_points": 0.94,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 8,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Alderete",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.34,
      "captain_ev": 6.69,
      "ceiling": 9.15,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 0.669,
      "bonus": 0.14,
      "defcon": 0.72,
      "p_defcon": 0.36,
      "cs_points": 0.93,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 9,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Richards",
      "team": "CRY",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.92,
      "captain_ev": 5.85,
      "ceiling": 8.43,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.8,
      "value": 0.585,
      "bonus": 0.09,
      "defcon": 0.72,
      "p_defcon": 0.36,
      "cs_points": 0.73,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 10,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Scott",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.07,
      "captain_ev": 6.15,
      "ceiling": 7.53,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.6,
      "value": 0.512,
      "bonus": 0.1,
      "defcon": 0.7,
      "p_defcon": 0.351,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 11,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Ballard",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.04,
      "captain_ev": 6.07,
      "ceiling": 10.31,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 2.9,
      "value": 0.607,
      "bonus": 0.3,
      "defcon": 0.7,
      "p_defcon": 0.349,
      "cs_points": 0.7,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 12,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Collins",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.06,
      "captain_ev": 6.11,
      "ceiling": 8.56,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.0,
      "value": 0.556,
      "bonus": 0.1,
      "defcon": 0.7,
      "p_defcon": 0.348,
      "cs_points": 0.79,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 13,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Hill",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 1.63,
      "captain_ev": 3.25,
      "ceiling": 6.04,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.4,
      "value": 0.296,
      "bonus": 0.07,
      "defcon": 0.65,
      "p_defcon": 0.326,
      "cs_points": 0.22,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 14,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Caicedo",
      "team": "CHE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.67,
      "captain_ev": 5.34,
      "ceiling": 6.14,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 3.8,
      "value": 0.485,
      "bonus": 0.1,
      "defcon": 0.65,
      "p_defcon": 0.325,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-24T19:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 15,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Van Hecke",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.63,
      "captain_ev": 7.27,
      "ceiling": 10.17,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.2,
      "value": 0.727,
      "bonus": 0.22,
      "defcon": 0.61,
      "p_defcon": 0.303,
      "cs_points": 0.83,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 16,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Struijk",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.21,
      "captain_ev": 6.43,
      "ceiling": 8.82,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.5,
      "value": 0.643,
      "bonus": 0.05,
      "defcon": 0.6,
      "p_defcon": 0.301,
      "cs_points": 0.89,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 17,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Xhaka",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.36,
      "captain_ev": 6.72,
      "ceiling": 8.47,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 6.3,
      "value": 0.611,
      "bonus": 0.61,
      "defcon": 0.59,
      "p_defcon": 0.294,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 18,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Gomes",
      "team": "AVL",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.11,
      "captain_ev": 4.22,
      "ceiling": 5.61,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.384,
      "bonus": 0.08,
      "defcon": 0.58,
      "p_defcon": 0.289,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 19,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Yarmoliuk",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.27,
      "captain_ev": 4.55,
      "ceiling": 5.15,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.455,
      "bonus": 0.04,
      "defcon": 0.57,
      "p_defcon": 0.285,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 20,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}